I've followed the election season from Day 1. I haven't commented or wrote a diary on mydd in a long while. But the volume and shear bias and slander against Hillary Clinton is forcing my hand to write. I've gradually noticed that sites that I used to love eg DailyKos and Democratic Underground are unbearable pits of Clinton hositility. All civility has gone out the window and one time anti-Clinton GOP talking points are are being rehashed as fact by fellow Democrats. But I've also noticed the "loud" factor. Obama supporters are far louder in their criticism, and frankly I think more vocal. Are there more of them? Perhaps online.
I've taken some poll results and anecdotal evidence and tried to formulate a theory.
Clinton supporters are generally quieter. Obama pulls more independents but does not hold down the base. If obama is the nominee, McCain will draw a significant number of Clinton primary voters.
Growing up in New Jersey, I made many friends who came from an assortment of different countries. I loved going to the Filipino cotillions, eating empanadas, or just hearing about old Poland from my friend's grandparents. One friend whom I developed a particularly strong relationship was with my friend Luis. We did everything together,and both developed strong relationships with each other's families. A particular episode that I will never forget was the college fair at school. We were both touring the different booths, I was talking up a storm about which colleges were good, which had the best parties, which ones sucked, etc. Luis was noticeably quiet. When we left, I continued bantering about college life. He simply replied, "I'm not going". He then cleared the gulp in his throat and explained to me slowly, with his voice shaking how his family had overstayed their visa and were here in the country illegally, college was not an option. Naively, I replied, "Why don't you just apply for citizenship". Little did I know about our arcane immigration laws. I graduated and eventually came to New York to study business . Luis on the other hand graduated and found a job as a mechanic. He still lives at home and yearns for the opportunity to go to college.
http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/NJ/GV051010.htm Both Sides have been bombarding the waves with ads. If Forrester performs above the avg statewide Republican he may pull some GOPers into the legislature. Here's to the Northern Democratic Machine getting the vote out, if Hudson and Essex perform well it will be enough to offset an above average Forrester performance in the suburbs.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20050808/ap_on_el_se/pirro_clinton
Looks like Clinton will have her hands full in 2006. Pirro shouldn't be underestimated, she is very savvy, But Clinton is the 800 pound Gorilla of fundraising and campaigning. Hope the Senator will show Jeanine the way back to Westchester.
Virginia:
Warner 48
Allen 44
Maryland:
Cardin 45
Steele 40
Mfume 40
Steele 47
"With Cardin atop the Democratic ticket, the white vote is evenly divided but Democrats attract just 51% of the African-American vote. In that mach-up, Steele attracts 30% of the African-American vote."
http://www.medialifemagazine.com/News2005/jun05/june27/3_wed/news2wednesday.html
http://www.nj.com/news/jjournal/index.ssf?/base/news-2/1096708229126370.xml
Let's hope this is an outlier and not a trend. What the hell is a matter with my state! I don't want to get panicky, but I'm starting to see Bush/Cheney Signs in JERSEY CITY!!!!...God help us! BUT IM CLINGING>>>KERRY WILL WIN.
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